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1991-155w:ALL0003F 1315 1 ORDINANCE NO 911,T,5_~ AN ORDINANCE AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO EXECUTE A DEED GRANT AGREEMENT WITH THE AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION, RELATING TO THE AWARD OF A DEED GRANT TO DENTON MUNICIPAL UTILITIES IN THE AMOUNT OF $50,000 FOR THE PURPOSE OF UNDERTAKING IN COOPERATION WITH TEXAS A & M UNIVERSITY A PROJECT TO DEMONSTRATE THE USE OF NEURAL INFORMATION PROCESSING SYSTEMS TO IMPROVE LONG-TERM FORE- CASTING METHODS FOR ELECTRIC UTILITIES, AUTHORIZING THE EXPENDITURE OF FUNDS THEREFORE, AND PROVIDING AN EFFECTIVE DATE THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DENTON HEREBY ORDAINS SECTION I That the City Manager is authorized to execute the Deed Grant Agreement between the city of Denton and the American Public Power Association relating to the research project above stated, under the terms and conditions contained within the agree- ment, a copy of which is attached hereto and made a part hereof SECTION II That the City Council hereby authorized the ac- ceptance of the DEED grant in the amount of $50,000 and the expen- diture of funds therefrom to Texas A & M for the services required pursuant to the Agreement S.yCTION III That this ordinance shall become effective im- mediately upon its passage and approvv.'a'~l^'J PASSED AND APPROVED this the day of October, 1991 CASTLEBERRY, MA DEBRA A FORM CITY ATTORNEY BY NOTE PROJECT NEVER UNDERTAKEN CONTRACT NOT COMPLETED AND NOT SIGNED ATTEST JENNIFER WALTERS, CITY SECRETARY Application DEED GRANT Demonstration of Energy-Efficient Developments (DEED) Program American Public Power Association TITLE OF PROJECT Long-Term Forecasting Methods for Electric Utilities Using a Neural Information Processing Approach PROPOSING UTILITY Denton Municipal Utilities ADDRESS Municipal Building Denton, Texas 76201 OTHER PARTICIPANTS Texas A&M University (if applicable) PROJECT TERM: PROPOSED START Set 1 1991 COMPLETION Au 31 1992 (month, year month, year AMOUNT OF REQUESTED DEED FUNDS $50 000 [Amounts greater than $50,000 requ re approve TOTAL PROJECT BUDGET $50,000 FUNDING BY PARTICIPANTS OTHER THAN APPA (LIST EACH WITH AMOUNT, INCLUDE PROPOSING UTILITY, IF APPLICABLE) PROJECT MANAGER(S). , titie--primary name, name, IS YOUR UTILITY AN APPA MEMBER? YES X NO_ 409'81;1118 4phon817 566-8230 phone 409/845-7092 phone NO OF METERS 27,272 A Proposal to AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION Director of DEED Entitled Long-Term Forecasting Methods for Electric Utilities Using a Neural Information Processing Approach Submitted by The Texas Engineering Experiment Station Contracts & Grants Attention David Hollingsworth, Contra Administrator 308 Wisenbaker Engineering Research Center College Station, TX 77843-3124 (409) 846.1264 Prepared by Dr A G Parlos, Co-Principal Investigator Nuclear Engineering Department and Dr A D Patton, Co-Principal Investigator Electrical Engineering Department July 1991 DEED Grant Anohcahon/1 Long-Term Forecasting Methods for Electric Utilities using a Neural Information Processing Approach Alexander G Parlos Department of Nuclear Engineering Alton D Patton Department of Electrical Engineering Texas A&M University College Station, Texas 77843 Proposal Prepared for American Public Power Association July 1991 Summary Project Description This protect aims at improving electric utility planning by transfenng the promising technology of Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPSs) Improved long-term forecasting methods based on the enhanced computational capabilities of NIPS architectures could lead to more accurate planning strategies for this leading industry Architectures based on NIPSs emulate the information processing approaches used in living biological systems, allowing a machine system to learn complex tasks by example, with minimal external intervention It is proposed to develop customized demonstration software based on this technology for eventual transfer to the electric utility industry A NIPS architecture and a training procedure, recently developed by the investigators, will be used in forecasting long-term trends Preliminary results with this technology indicate that at least 10-15% improvement in forecasting accuracy could be achieved over existing methods Close cooperation and coordination with experts from our sponsor utilities will ensure wider acceptance and more effective transfer of the NIPS technology Upon completion, the proposed project is anticipated to make a significant impact on the ability of the electric utilities to plan more efficiently via enhanced long-range forecasting For example, with the billions of dollars necessary to add new generation capacity, even a few percent improvement in forecasting the timing of the addition could result in major savings The NIPS technology is expected to set new standards for long-term planning in the electric utility industry Problem Statement This project aims at transfenng the novel technology of Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPSs) to improve long-term planning in the electric utility industry While providing major economic strength, the aforementioned industry stands to gain the most in the Nation's industrial sector from improved energy planning strategies There have been a number of attempts to improve long-term planning via opturuzation and overhaul over the past two decades [3] Even though these efforts have resulted in considerable improvements, advances in computer technology could further help towards improved energy efficiency [4] One of the major inefficiencies in the electric utility industry is the uncertainty, and therefore risk, associated with future load demand Inability to accurately forecast future trends and disturbances affecting the long-tents load demands could easily translate into major economic penalties for the utilities involved, and as a consequence for the various customers being served For example, major utilities use long-term forecasting tools for generation planning with associated costs in- the billions of dollars [1] Small errors in the forecast accuracy can easily translate into significant financial penalties Considering the size of the utility industry in the U S , only the generation planning cost savings resulting from improved long-term load forecasts could reach well into the billions of dollars The NIPSs technology, attempting to emulate the information processing methods of living neural systems, can address complex problems, such as forecasting, empirical modeling and data reconciliation, encountered in numerous industrial operations with a novel and unified approach Like their biological counterparts, NIPS architectures transmit and process signals over a host of parallel channels with variable impedances Through practice and optimization of a task, impedances are tuned and thus NIPSs can learn/adapt to unknown and changing environments while ignoring noise and disturbances Furthermore, like in biological systems even though apnon knowledge can be incorporated, a NIPS can empirically learn certain processes without any prior experience NIPSs have already been proven effective in recognizing complex static patterns [2], translating text into speech [2], predicting nonlinear system dynamics [5,11], estimating unmeasured system states despite noise [10], and controlling structural vibrations [8], to mention a few of the significant applications Project Objectives it is proposed to implement a NIPS architecture and a training method developed by the investigators into a customized demonstration software package, with the ultimate objective DEED Grant ApDlic Wng to improve the energy efficiency of the utility industry through enhanced long-term load forecasting A U S patent has been filed by the Texas A&M University System (TAMUS) for the basic information processing technology platform proposed for use in this project [9] Extensive application, however, of this technology to load forecasting is yet to be carved-out Recently some researchers have suggested the use of NIPSs for electric load forecasting [6,7], however, so far there has been no serious known attempts for implementation The proposed technology has a proven record of improving prediction accuracy by 10%, with up to 30% in certain cases [5,8,9,10,11], and it is believed capable of enhancing long term load forecasting accuracy compared to traditional approaches Furthermore, recent performance comparisons have indicated that the NIPS architecture and training method proposed for technology transfer has outperformed alternate NIPS approaches [12] Nevertheless, additional work is needed to enable transfer of this technology to the utility industry Methodology The NIPS technology provides the computational capability to 'learn by example and thereafter perform complex tasks, such as forecasting future trends Based on the information processing approaches used by living organisms, this emerging technology has proven successful in a number of significant engineering applications The technology proposed for transfer consists of an innovative hybrid feedforward/feedback NIPS architecture along with a dynamic learning algorithm used in training it, both developed by the investigators [9,11,12] The major contribution of this development has been the improved forecasting and modeling accuracy, as compared to a purely feedforward and/or feedback NIPS architecture [11] Uncertainty and risk assessment has become one of the most important aspects of electric utility operations Long-term load profiles represent such a major uncertainty The econommc consequences of improved load forecasung approaches have kept development of alternate, more accurate algorithms at the forefront of electric power research From short term load forecasts used in the daily unit allocations, to mid term load forecasts used for fuel budgeting, to the long-term load forecasts used for economic planning and utility expansion, a number of different techniques have been proposed in the literature and are currently in use These methods can be classified into two major categories (1) the time series {approach, treating the load pattern as a (dynamic) nine series signal and predicting the future load using some time series analysis tool, and (2) the regression approach, which recognizes the strong effect of weather on electric load use, for example, and attempts to find a (static) functional relationship between the two The major shortcoming of these DEED Grant Aoo91caaon/5 approaches is their limned accuracy resulting from use of linear model structures for the former (nonlinear time series analysts with conventional methods has been proposed, but it has not proven practical yet), and the use of stationary piece-wise linear functional relationships for the latter The NIPS architecture developed by the investigators attempts to combine the desirable properties of the above approaches, while eliminating their unwanted characteristics, such as computational complexity and numerical instabilities This is accomplished via an effective nonlinear tune series analysis of the load patterns Extensive and detailed description of the proposed methodology is available in recent publications [9,10,111 Description of Equipment/Hardware/Systems All of the equipment required to conduct the proposed research are available at Texas A&M University (TAMU) These include special-purpose neurocomputers for fast training of the NIPS architectures, conventional digital computers for testing the developed forecasting tools, and specialized application software platforms for neurocomputing purposes Anticipated Relevance and Transferability to other Public Power Systems Methods for uncertainty and risk assessment and management have extremely broad applicability Nevertheless, demonstration of the effectiveness of such computational tools requires utility specific test cases It is anticipated that the proposed research will result in methods applicable for the long-term load forecasting of a large class of utilities, though customization of the methods will be required to fit specific utility needs A plan and a schedule showing how the major project milestones will lead to product commercialization and technology transfer is depicted in Fig 1 Collaboration with the utility sponsors will be initiated at the outset of the project Through systematic meetings with the sponsors, it is believed that the technology transfer process will be greatly facilitated Initially, it is planned to transfer the technology by developing customized demonstration software tools for the sponsor utilities, and by demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed techniques in actual day-to-day operations Following completion of the one year project, it is planned to initiate attempts to develop commercial software packages based on the outcomes of this project This concentrated effort is believed to lead to more successful commercialization and technology transfer prospects Anticipated Deliverables The major deliverable of this project is anticipated to be a demonstration software package for long-term load forecasting A final report detailing the year-long project along DEEM Gant ADnli atio /6 with a demonstration software user's manual and a number of test cases will augment the major deliverable All of the aforementioned items will be delivered by the project completion date IM-91 1 & Z Project 3 & 4 Project Quarters 1941511 Quutere Licensing of the ~L Patent tech from l o N Further Market Market A t Research Expealon E f On Site 4 Forecastin Tool B Joint Vnture/ Toting Capital Acquisition NIPS band Long Term Basic Tech. Forecasting Tool Comparison with Software Developments Development Existing Methods MarkeWg Commercialization Off Site Forecasting Tool Tech Transfer Forecasting Tool _ Demonstration Mmi Toting Softww TAMU/DOE/ NASA JSC DEED SU PPORT Fig 1 Major Project Milestones and Path for Product Commercialization and Tech Transfer Budget Justification Funds are requested for two Graduate Research Assistants (GRAS) needed to conduct the research One of the GRAS will be pursuing the collection and interpretation of the appropriate forecasting data from the utility sponsors, while the other GRA will be responsible for training and testing the NIPS The project activities will be conducted at the TAMU campus, with monthly nips to the sponsor utilities for consultation and coordination Funds are requested for these trips and for an annual presentation of the project outcomes at a technical conference Tasks and Schedule Following are the technical tasks for the application of the NIPS technology to long-term load forecasting in the electric utility industry Task 1 Consultation with forecasting experts from the sponsoring utilities for the initial selection of the independent variables and for the collection of long-term forecasting data Task 2 The long-term data collected in Task 1 will be used for the development of a NIPS long-term forecasting tool for utility expansion plans and it will be compared with currently used forecasting methods Task 3. Interfacing with experts from the sponsor utilities for testing and validation of the customized demonstration software, and transfer of this tool to industry for use Task 4 Documentation of the developed demonstration software package and report preparation A tentative schedule for accomplishing the project tasks is shown in Figure 2 Business related milestones shown in Fig 1 have not been included in this section DEED Start (9/91) DEED End (8/92) T Task t Task 2 Task 3 Task 4 iQa. 2Qa. 3Qe 4Qit Figure 2 Tentative schedule for various Project Tasks References [11 Communication with E G Preston, City of Austin, Electric Utility Department, June 1991 [2] DARPA Neural Network Study, Fairfax, VA AFCEA International Press, 1988 [3] Electric Power Research Institute, Demand-Side Planning Program Projects and Products, 1974-1986, EPRI Report EM-5062-SR, February 1987 [41 Electric Power Research Institute, Proceedings 1989 Conference on Advanced Computer Technology for the Power Industry, Vol 2, Sect 17-19, EPRI Report MD-6881, July 1990 [5] Fernandez, B , A G Parlos, and W K Tsai, "Nonlinear System Identification using Artificial Neural Networks," Proc of the 1990Int 1 Joint Conf on Neural Networks, Vol II, 133-141, June 1990 [6] Khotanzad, A and J -H Lu, "Signal Forecasting by a Neural Network," Proc of the NSF Worksp on Appl of the Artif Neural Networks Methodology in Power Systems Engr, pp 103-108, Apr 1990, SC [8] Parlos, A G , "Robust Adaptive Control Technology for Advanced Space Systems," TEES Proposal 90-601 submitted to NASA-Johnson Space Center, July 1990- Research Funded on January 1991 [9] Parlos, A G, A F Anya, B Fernandez, W K Tsai, and K T Chong, 'Neural Node, Network and Model, and Method of Teaching Same, U S Patent filed on June 14, 1991 [10] Parlos, A G , A F Anya, and J W Sunkel, "Parameter Estimation in Space M stems using Recurrent Neural Networks," Proc 1991 AIAA Conf on Guidance, v &Conrrol, Aug 1991, New Orleans, LA [11] Parlos, A G, A F Anya, K T Chong, B Fernandez, and W K Tsai, 'Nonlinear Identification of Process Dynamics using Neural Networks," to appear in Nuclear Technology, 1991 [12] Parlos, A G, B Fernandez, A F Anya, J Muthusami, and W K Tsai, An Accelerated Learning Algorithm for Multi-layer Networks," submitted to the Conf for Neural Info Proc Sys, CO, Oct 1991 SIGNATURE OF UTILITY AUTHORITY PRINT NAME Robert E (Bob) Nelson TITLE DATE PHONE Executive Director of Utilities 7/31/91 (817)566-8230 DUE PREFERENCE IS GIVEN TO BROAD APPLICABILITY TO PUBLIC POWER SYSTEMS, SPONSORSHIP BY MULTIPLE ORGANIZATIONS, DEVELOPMENT OF ANALYTICAL TOOLS, GENERALIZABLE METHODOLOGIES, SOFTWARE, SERV]CES, OR EQUIPMENT, DEGREE AND TIMELINESS OF TRANSFERABILITY OF SULTS, AND PREVIOUS PERFORMANCE OF THE PROPOSER ON OTHER AWA S SPECIAL CONSIDERATION IS GIVEN TO SMALL UTILITIES ANY ADDITIONAL YEARS OF FUNDING MUST BE APPROVED FOR EACH CALENDAR YEAR BY THE DEED DIRECTORS ATTACH ADDITIONAL PAGES IF NECESSARY RETURN FORM IN TRIPLICATE TO DIRECTOR OF DEED, AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION, 2301 M STREET, N W, WASHINGTON, D C 20037 PHONE INQUIRIES 202/467-2960 OR -2900 Biographies Alton DeWitt Patton Professor of Electrical Engineering, Texas A&M University Education B S , Electrical Engineering (1957), The University of Texas at Austin M S , Electrical Engineering (1961), University of Pittsburgh Ph D, Electrical Engineering (1972), Texas A&M University Areas of Research Electric power system analysis, system reliability and operational modeling, analysis and evaluation Experience in Higher Education Professor, Electrical Engineering, Texas A&M University, 1965-1979, 1983-present Director, Center for Space Power, Texas A&M University, 1987-present Director, Electric Power Institute, Texas A&M University 1976-1979, 1985-present Professional Experience Engineer, Electric Utility Engineering Dept, Westinghouse Electric Corporation, 1957- 1965 Principal, Associated Power Analysts, Inc, 1973 present Registered Professional Engineer in Texas (25077) Professional Activities Fellow of IEEE IEEE Committee Memberships Power System Engineering Committee Application of Probability Method Subcommittee Performance Records for Optimizing System Design Working Group Power System Technology Committee Reliability Subcommittee Honors and Awards Texas Engineering Experiment Station Research Fellow, 1985-1986 Brockett Professorship, 1986-1987 Dresser Professorship, 1987-1988 Selected Publications Author/co-author of more than 90 published papers and reports, most in electric power system analysis and reliability evaluation Selected titles are [11 Large-Scale System Effectiveness Analysts, DOE Contract EC-77-S-01-5104, Washington, D C, November 1979 [2] Reliability Indices for Power Systems, EPRI Project RP-1353-1, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, September 1980 [31 the National Electric Reliability Study and Final Report, DOE Report EP-0004, Washington, D C, April, 1981 [41 Modeling of Unit Operating Considerations to Generating Capacity Reliability Evaluations, EPRI Report EL-2519, Vols 1&2, Electric Power Research Institute Palo Alto, CA, July 1982 DEED Grant ARUhQUgW10 [51 Stydy of Effect of Load Management on Generating System Reliability, EPRI Report EI,-3575, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, July 1984 [61 Reliability Models of Interconnected Systems that Incorporate Operating Considerations, EPRI Report EL-4603, Vols 1&2, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, August 1986 DEED Grant AlM atio /11 Alexander G Parlos Educatiota Sc D Automatic Control and System Engineering, 1986, MIT, Cambridge, MA S M Mechanical Engineering, 1985, MIT, Cambridge, MA S M Nuclear Engineering, 1985, MIT, Cambridge, MA B S Nuclear Engineering, 1983, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX Experience Assistant Professor, Department of Nuclear Engineenng,Texas A&M University, 7/87- present Engineering Consultant, The BDM Corporation, McLean, Virginia, 6/88-present System Engineering and Technical Assistance on the Risk Assessment of the Space Station Freedom EPS and on Program Requirements and Analysis of the Space Station PMAD System Senior Research Associate, Department of Nuclear & Chemical Engineering, University of New Mexico, 10/86-6/87 Responsible for the preliminary design of a multimegawati space power system Engineering Consultant, Jack Tills & Associates Inc, Albuquerque, NM, 10/86-6/87 Design and development of automatic control related software for nuclear power plants Professional Activities Membership in American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA) American Nuclear Society (ANS) American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) International Neural Networks Society (INNS) Recent Publications Parlos, A G, A F Anya, K T Chong, B Fernandez, and W K Tsai, "Nonlinear Identification of Process Dynamics using Neural Networks," to appear in the Journal of Nuclear Teehnoloav. Metzger, J D , M S EI-Genk, and A G Parlos, "Model-Reference Adaptive Control with Selective State-Vanable Weighting Applied to a Space Nuclear Power System," to appear in the Jj =al gf Nuclear Science and Engineenne. Tsai, W K , Parlos, A G , and Verghese, G C "Bounding the States of Systems with Unknown-But-Bounded Disturbances," International Journal of Control, Vol 52, No 4, 1990 El-Genk, M S , Parlos, A G , McGhee, J M , Lapin, S , Buden D , and Mims, J , "Integrated System Design Optimization for Multimegawatt Space Nuclear Power DEED Grant A011caao"/12 Applications," AIAA Journal of Propulsion and Power. Vol 6, No 2 March-April 1990 pp 174-202 Parlos„A G, "An Optimal Disturbance Refection Control System for Multimegawatt Space Nuclear Power Systems," Space Nuclear Power Systems 1988, M S El-Genk and M D Hoover, eds, Orbit Book Company, Malabar, FL, 1990 Parlos, A G and Menon, S K, "Design of a Nonlinear Controller for Rapid Power Level Changes in Nuclear Systems," Transaction of the 7th Symposium on Space Nuclear Power Systems, Alb, NM, January, 1990 Metzger, J D , El-Genk, M S and Parlos, A G , "Model-Reference Adaptive Control Applied to Load-Following of a Space-Nuclear Power System," Trans of the 7th Symposium on Space Nuclear Power Systems, Albuquerque, NM, January, 1990 Parlos, A G, and Tsai, W K, "Time-Domain Synthesis of Robust Controllers for Space Nuclear Power Systems," Transactions of the 6th Symposium on Space Nuclear Power Systems, Alb, NM, January, 1989 Keil, R , Parlos, A G , and Sunderland, D J , "Optimization of a Hybrid Nuclear-Electric Propulsion System," Transaction of the 6th Symposium on Space Nuclear Power Systems, Alb, NM, Jan, 1989 Tsai, W K, and Parlos, A G, "Fuzzy Set Theoretic Regulator Design for Power Plant Components," Proc of the 1989 Conference on Decision and Control, Tampa, FL, December 1989 Parlos, A G , El-Genk, M S , McGhee, J M , Buden D , and Mims, J , "Energy Conversion System Optimization Study for Multimegawatt Space Nuclear Power Applications," IEEE Trans. on Nuclear Science, June 1988 Parlos, A G, "An Optimal Disturbance Refection Control System for Multumegawatt Space Nuclear Power Systems," Transactions of the 5th Symposium on Space Nuclear Power Systems, Alb, NM, January, 1988 Parlos, A G , El-Genk, M S , McGhee, J M , Buden, D , and Mims, J , "Energy Conversion System Optimization Study for Multimegawatt Space Nuclear Power Application," Transactions of the 5th Symposium on Space Nuclear Power Systems Albuquerque, NM, January, 1988 Tsai, W K , and Parlos, A G , "Multivanable Control System Synthesis Based on the Unknown-but-Bounded Disturbance Model," Proc of the 1988 CDC Austin, TX December 1988 Parlos, A G, Henry, A F, Schweppe, F C, Gould, L A and Lanning, D D,"Non- Linear Multivanable Control of Nuclear Power Plants Based on the Unknown-but- Bounded Disturbance Model,"IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-33, vo12 February 1987 Parlos,II A G, Henry, A F, Schweppe, F C, Gould, L A, Lanning, D D, "Non-Linear Multivanable Control of Nuclear Power Plants Based on the Unknown-but-Bounded Disturbance Model," Proc of the 1987 American Control Conference, Minneapolis, MN, June 10-12, 1987 DEED Grant Aaplication/13 El-Gook, M S. Parlos, A 0, McGhee, J M, Lapin, S , Buden, D, and Mims, J, "Pellet Bed Reactor Design for Space Power," Proc of the 22nd IECEC, Philadelphia, PA, August 10-14,1987 Tsai, W K , Parlos, A G , "Minimizing the Effects of Unknown-but-Bounded Disturbance in Power Plants," Proc of the 1987 Conference on Decision and Control, Los Angeles CA, December 1987 Recent Research Projects April 1991-December 1991, "Investigation and Feasibility Assessment of TOPAZ II Derivatives for Space Applications," SDIO, $140,000 January 1991-December 1991, "Robust Adaptive System Technology for Guidance Navigation and Control of Advanced Spacecrafts," NASA Johnson Space Center, $50,000 September 1989-December 1992, "A Neural Network Based Architecture for Enhanced Diagnostics and Control of Nuclear Power Plant Components", U S D O E , $475,000 June 1989-May 1990, "Controller Synthesis for Disturbance Refection of Systems Subjected to Structural Vibrations", NASA Johnson Space Center, $71,000, Principal Investigator January 1989-September 1989, "Investigation of Nonlinear Stability Characteristics of High Frequency Power Management and Distribution Systems for Space Applications" The BDM Corp, $32,000, Pnn Investigator August 1988-June 1989, "Assessment and Application of ARROTTA for Design Base Accidents", EPRI, $51,854, Principal Investigator June 1988-May 1989, "Design of an Optimal Pointing System for Space Solar Dynamic Systems", NASA Johnson Space Center, $60,000, Principal Investigator Budget Detail for American Public Power Association TEES Proposal 91-612 Period of Performance Sept 1, 1991 through Aug 31, 1992 1 Direct Labor Graduate Students (2) Rate 50% Time, 12 Months $1,800 $21,600 Total Direct Labor cost $21,600 2 Other Costs Fringe Benefits Graduate Students @ 16% + $200 ea per month $688 $8,256 Travel $4,464 Materials and Supplies $645 Total Other Direct Costs $13,365 Total Direct Cost $34,965 3 Indirect Costs Indirect Cost Rate Negotiated With U S Department of Health & Human Services Rate 43% Modified Total Direct Cost Base $34,965 $15,035 4 Total Cost $50,000 Exceptions to American Public Power Association's Terms and Conditions TEES Proposal 91-612 Exhibit A As an agency of the State of Texas and an educational institution it is our standard policy to retain both copyrights and patent rights and issue to the Sponsor an irrevocable, royalty-free, non- exclusive license for use of such material, invention, or discovery for its own purposes Such a policy is in place to help us fulfill our mission as an educational institution as well as a state agency We therefore request that clause 9 be replaced with the folowing PATENTS Title to any invention conceived or reduced to practice in the performance of this research will remain with TEES TEES shall have the sole right to determine disposition of any patents or other rights resulting therefrom, provided that upon issue of any patent on any such invention or discovery, TEES shall grant to the SPONSOR an irrevocable, royalty-free, non-exclusive license for use of such invention or discovery for its own purposes CITY of DENTON, TEXAS MUNICIPAL BUILDING / DENTON TEXAS 76201 / TELEPHONE (817) 566 8200 OFFICE OF THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF UTILITIES July 31, 1991 Ms Jacquie Cockran Director of DEED American Public Power Association 2301 M Street, NW Washington DC 20037 Dear Ms Cockran Enclosed you will find, in triplicate, a DEED grant application for a project entitled "Long-Term Forecasting Methods for Electric Utilities Using a Neural Information Processing Approach" This project will be performed at Texas A&M by Dr A G Parlos of the Nuclear Engineering Department and Dr A D Patton of the Electrical Engineering Department Denton Municipal Utilities of Denton, Texas, is pleased to submit this DEED grant proposal for this innovative application of recently developed neural information processing system software for forecasting in the electric utility industry Should the DEED Directors choose to award this grant, we look forward to providing an interface as appropriate, to the Texas A&M team Please accept this grant application with Denton's endorsement We look forward to working with the DEED Directors on this innovative project T L T'% T n T T Ic" T1 r"r % r1 T f T T T r T"%-, C L+ Lf t r T ~ DEED Program Grant Application Long-Term Forecasting Methods for Electric Utilities Using a Neural Information Processing Approach July 31, 1991 Page 2 If you have any questions, comments or concerns, please feel free to contact me at (817) 566-8230 or David Hollingsworth, Texas A&M Contract Administrator, (409) 845-1264, or Dr Parlos at (409) 845- 7092 or Dr Patton at (409) 845-8768 Respectfully submitted t Robert (Bob) Nelson, Executive Director Denton Municipal Utilities 215 E McKinney Denton, Tx 786201 (817) 566-8230 cc David Hollingsworth Dr Parlos Dr Patton Enclosure Texas Engineering Experiment Station - The Texas A&M University System - College Station Texas 77843 3124 - 409/845 1264 NMI Contracts & Grants July 30, 1991 Director of DEED American Public Power Association 2301 M Street, N W Washington, D C 20037 Re TEES Proposal 91-612 FAX 409/845 9643 The original and two copies of the above referenced proposal are enclosed This proposal is being submitted by Dr A G Parlos of the Nuclear Engineering Department and Dr A D Patton of the Electrical Engineering Department Any resulting project must be included in our TEES Research Statistics The title, sponsor, principal investigator, amount, and period of performance are published in this report If you have any technical questions regarding the project, please call Dr Parlos at (409) 845-7092 or Dr Patton at (409) 845-8768 Administrative and budgetary questions may be directed to me at (409) 845-1264 Sincerely, David Hollingsworth Contract Administrator \sjm Enclosures cc J W Howze A G Parlos A D Patton J W Poston AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION DEED GRANT AGREEMENT WHEREAS, the Board of Directors of the American Public Power Association (hereinafter "APPA") has established the Demonstration of Energy-Efficient De- velopments ("DEED") program with the purpose to sponsor and conduct activities related to energy innovation which would assist local publicly owned electric/ energy utilities in maintaining high quality and economical energy services to their consumers, WHEREAS, the Denton, Texas, Municipal Utilities (hereinafter "grantee") has submitted a proposed demonstration project, with data including a project description, the rationale, schedule, and estimated cost of the project, to- gether with a statement of why the project is widely applicable to members of APPA, and supporting technical material, WHEREAS, the DEED Directors have found the proposed project to be merito- rious and worthy of a DEED Grant from APPA, it is agreed that 1 APPA will supply a DEED Grant in the amount of $50,000 to Denton Mu- nicipal Utilities Payment shall be made within 30 days of receipt of invoice at APPA, as further described under paragraphs 16 and 17 2 The project to be undertaken by grantee is as follows Grantee will demonstrate the use of neural information processing systems to improve long- term forecasting methods, as more fully described in the proposal "Long-Term Forecasting Methods for Electric Utilities Using a Neural Information Process- ing Approach" dated July 31, 1991, and appended hereto as part of this Agreement. 3 It is understood that the key personnel of this project are Or Alton D Patton, electrical engineering department, Texas A&M University, Paqe 1 of 6 Robert Nelson, executive director, Denton Municipal Utils , and Dr A G Parlos, nuclear engineering department, Texas A&M 4 It is the responsibility of the grantee to comply with all terms and conditions of the DEED Grant, to use grant funds efficiently and effectively within the approved budget, and to supervise completion of the project in a diligent and professional manner, this responsibility may be neither delegated nor transferred without written permission by APPA 5 If, without written notification to APPA, the project has not been initiated within six months of the effective date of this contract, the project will be subject to termination by the DEED Board of Directors 6 Accounting for project funds (including receipts, grantee or other contributions, and expenditures) will be in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and practices, consistently applied, regardless of the source of funds 7 The grantee shall maintain books, records, documents, and other evi- dence and accounting procedures and practices sufficient to reflect properly (a) the amount, receipt, and disposition by the grantee of all assistance re- ceived for the project, and (b) the total cost of the project, including all direct and indirect costs of whatever nature incurred for the performance of the project The grantee's facilities, or such facilities as may be engaged in the per- formanceiof the project for which the DEED Grant has been awarded, and records shall be subject at all reasonable times to inspection and audit by APPA The grantee shall preserve and make its records available to APPA until expiration of three years from the date of final payment, or completion of the project under this DEED Grant, whichever is later Page 2 of 6 8 All APPA assistance received shall be expended by the grantee solely for carrying out the approved project The grantee may not delegate or trans- fer responsibility for the use of such funds 9 The grantee shall promptly notify APPA in writing by certified mail (return receipt requested) of all proposed major project changes, including, but not limited to (a) Major changes in the technical plans or specifications for the project, (b) Acceleration or deceleration in the time of performance of the project, or any major phase thereof, (c) Major changes which may increase or decrease the total cost of a project, (d) Major changes which may affect the approved scope of a project, (e) Major changed site conditions 10 APPA may disapprove project changes in writing by certified mail (re- turn receipt requested) not later than three weeks after receipt of notice Failure on the part of the grantee to give notice, or disapproval by APPA of the proposed change, shall result in disallowance of costs incurred which are attributable to the change 11 Approved project changes that do not substantially alter the objec- tive or scope of a project may give rise to grant amendments to increase or de- crease the dollar amount, the term, or other provisions of the DEED Grant A grant amendment shall be effected only by a written amendment to this DEED Grant Agreement 12 Grantee shall not terminate the project except for good cause if APPA finds grantee has terminated the project work without good cause, then it Page 3 of 6 shall annul the DEED Grant and all APPA grant funds previously paid to the grantee shall be returned as final settlement In the event the project is ter- minated for good cause or completed prior to expenditure of all funds provided by APPA, a proportionate share of APPA's DEED Grant shall be refunded 13 Requests for deviations from this DEED Grant Agreement shall be sub- mitted as far in advance as the exigencies of the situation will permit Each request for a deviation shall contain as a minimum (a) A full description of the deviation and the circumstances in which it will be used, (b) A description of the intended effect of the deviation, (c) Detailed reasons supporting the request, including any pertinent background information which will contribute to a better understanding of the deviation sought 14 Equitable title to interest or dividends earned or paid upon any de- posit or investment by the grantee of DEED Grant funds shall vest in APPA, or may be utilized for the project, subject to approval by APPA 15 Press releases and other public dissemination of information by the grantee shall acknowledge APPA grant support of the project 16 Grantee shall prepare and submit to APPA quarterly project reports Grantee also shall submit to APPA (1) an acceptable, detailed final report relating to the conduct and results of the approved project, describing activi- ties, cost, bibliography, achievements, problems, results, and recommendations, to be submitted within six (6) months of project completion, and (2) a complet- ed "DEED/Research Project Summary Abstract " APPA will withhold 10 percent of the DEED Grant monies pending satisfactory completion of said report and ab- stract It also is understood that an APPA steering committee may make peri- odic visits to the site of the project to be briefed on the progress and status of the project Page 4 of 6 11 The standard method of project payment shall be based on invoices for work completed to date In no instance may more than 50 percent of the total DEED Grant award be provided to grantee at the inception of the project 18 All information, uses, products, and other developments resulting from the project shall be made available without charge to APPA APPA retains the right to distribute such products in any manner the Association deems ap- propriate Contracts between grantee and its subcontractors participating in the project shall contain similar provisions Any computer programs especially developed by grantee or its subcontractors during the course of the project or substantially modified for use in the project shall be supplied to APPA in a form which may be used by others independently of grantee's proprietary pro- grams or computer configurations Equipment purchased in support of the DEED Grant may be retained by the grantee after acceptable conclusion of the project 19 Title to any invention conceived or reduced to practice in the per- formance of this research will remain with the Texas Engineering Experiment Station (TEES), the contractor TEES shall have the sole right to determine disposition of any patents or other rights resulting therefrom, provided that upon issue of any patent on any such invention or discovery, TEES shall grant to APPA an irrevocable, royalty-free, non-exclusive license for use of such invention or discovery for its own purposes, including royalty-free distribu- tion to all current and future DEED member utilities 20 The grantee warrants that no person or agency has been employed or retained to solicit or secure this matching grant upon an agreement or under- standing for a commission, percentage, brokerage, or contingent fee, excepting bona fide employees or bona fide offices established and maintained by the grantee for the purpose of securing grants or business For breach or viola- Page 5 of 6 tion of this warranty, APPA shall have the right to annul this DEED Grant without liability or in its discretion to deduct from the grant award, or otherwise recover, the full amount of such commission, percentage, brokerage, or contingent fee 21 It is understood that this DEED Grant Agreement is not a point venture and that grantee is not an agent of APPA APPA assumes no liability with respect to accidents, bodily injury, illness, breach of contract, or any other damages or loss, or with respect to any claims arising out of any activities undertaken with the financial support of the APPA DEED Grant, whether with respect to persons or property of the grantee or third parties Grantee shall indemnify (including court costs and attorneys' fees) APPA if APPA is made liable by a court for activities connected with this DEED Grant Agreement which were due to the negligence or other fault of employees or agents of Grantee IN WITNESS WHEREOF, the 5~ay hereto have executed this contract, effective as of the of 4244&&.-,d , 1991 Witness AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION Date Title Director of Technical Services Witness DENTON MFJNICIPAL UTILITIES r e G ' Title Page 6 of 6 AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION DEED SCHOLARSHIP AGREEMENT WHEREAS, the Board of Directors of the American Public Power Association (hereinafter "APPA") has established the Demonstration of Energy-Efficient De- velopments ("DEED") program with the purpose to sponsor and conduct activities related to energy innovation which would assist local publicly owned electric/ energy utilities in maintaining high quality and economical energy services to their consumers, and WHEREAS, Ms Claudia M I Heinrich (hereinafter "student") has submitted through the City of Denton, Texas, Municipal Utility (hereinafter "sponsoring utility") a project proposal, with data including a project description and schedule, together with supporting technical material, and WHEREAS, the DEED Board of Directors has found the proposed project to be meritorious and worthy of an DEED Scholarship from APPA/DEED, it is agreed that 1 On receipt of an invoice, APPA will supply to the sponsoring utility a DEED Scholarship in the amount of $3,000 for award to the student APPA will withhold one-third of the scholarship monies ($1,000) pending satisfactory completion of the final report 2 The project to be undertaken by the student will be "Direct Solar to Electrical Energy Conversion," as more fully described in the proposal dated July 25, 1991, and appended hereto as part of this agreement 3 It is understood that the utility coordinator on this project is Richard Foster, Public Information Coordinator Page 1 of 3 4 It is the responsibility of the sponsoring utility to supervise com- pletion of the project in a diligent and professional manner 5 The student shall promptly notify the sponsoring utility and APPA of any and all proposed major project changes, including any acceleration or de- celeration in the time of performance of the project 6 The student shall not terminate the project except for good cause if APPA finds that the student has terminated the project work without good cause, then it shall annul the Scholarship and all APPA Scholarship funds previously paid to the student shall be returned as final settlement 7 Press releases and other public dissemination of information by the student/sponsoring utility shall acknowledge APPA Scholarship support of the project 8 The student/sponsoring utility shall prepare and submit to APPA an acceptable final report relating to the conduct and results of the approved project 9 It is understood that this DEED Scholarship agreement is not a joint venture and that the student/sponsoring utility is not an agent of APPA APPA assumes no liability with respect to accidents, bodily injury, illness, breach of contract, or any other damages or loss, or with respect to any claims aris- ing out of any activities undertaken with the financial support of the APPA Scholarship, whether with respect to persons or property of the student, the sponsoring utility, or other parties Student/sponsoring utility shall indem- nify (including court costs and attorneys' fees) APPA if APPA is made liable by a court for activities connected with this agreement which were not due to the negligence or other fault of employees or agents of APPA Page 2 of 3 10 Student shall operate as an independent contractor as to all services to be performed under this Agreement and not as an officer or employee of the sponsoring utility or APPA Student shall have exclusive control of her ser- vices and shall not be considered or hold herself out as an agent or official representative of the sponsoring utility or APPA IN WITNESS WHEREOF, the parties hereto have executed this contract, effec- tive as of the /516h day of d2Ve111bar , 1991 Witness ate Witness Date T Witness Date ~0.PV p¢ 111AXXXXxxxxx„ REBA JOYCE BISHOP Ny COY Public Std a of Texas on"isslon ExOlr" 2/28/82 AMERICAN PUBLIP POWER ASSOCIATION TitYe Director of Technical Services DENTON MUNJR'1PAL UTILITY (Sponsoring Uf)li Title l CLAUDIA M I HEINRICH (Student) Address nt ~ 2 1&5>k }2T Q (~A p //X Telephone Page 3 of 3 A wO►.M rill, November 15, 1991 Mr Robert E Nelson Executive Director City of Denton Department of Utilities Municipal Building Denton, Texas 76201 Dear Bob American Public Power Association 2301 M Street N W Washington DC 20037 1484 202/467 2900 Enclosed for your files is an executed copy of the DEED Scholarship for Claudia Heinrich's project entitled 'Direct Solar to Electrical Energy Conversion " I have forwarded to Ms Heinrich her own copy I will forward your invoice to our Controller when it arrives You should receive the scholarship funds within 30 days Please call me (202/467-2960) if you have any questions Sincerely, inator, fc elyn A Cochran DEED Administration Y I I I I FORM TITLE OF PROJECT Direct Solar To Electrical Energy Conversion NAME OF STUDENT Claudia M I Heinrich STUDENT'S CURRENT ADDRESS Rt 2 Box 334 Valley View, TX 76272 STUDENT'S COURSE OF STUDY Electronics Technology EXPECTED GRADUATION DATE Summer 1992 EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTION University of North Texas P 0 13198 Denton, TX 76203 SPONSORING UTILITY Denton Municipal Utility PROJECT TERM Proposed Start 9/1/91 Completion 6/1/92 SUPERVISORY PERSONNEL From Utility Richard Foster Public Information Coordinator From Educational Institution Perry R McNeill, Ed D , P E 817/565-2846 Professor and Director Electronics and Nuclear Technology DIRECT SOLAR TO ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONVERSION Pr ect Description This project investigates the direct conversion of solar energy into electrical energy The present method to obtain electrical energy from solar energy is to let the light energy interact with solar cells In this interaction electrons are set free in the valence band and transferred to the conductor band I will be part of a team that is currently working on an alternative method of directly producing electricity from solar light using submicron antennas based on silicon carbide as the main material. Here the sun radiation is absorbed by a dielectric material Energy will be transferred to the electrons of SiC which will be excited and collected by the conductor band of the electrodes and produce a voltage and a current At least two different techniques to fabricate the solar antenna are going to be considered, e g physical evaporation of silicon carbide (SiC) for thin film growth The purpose of this project is to obtain a measurable output voltage produced by the exposure of these antennas to solar radiation Problem Statement It is well known that the radiation of electromagnetic waves in the range of radio frequency (RF) and microwaves can be converted into electricity after being intercepted by antennas This range of wavelengths goes from meters to millimeters in the electromagnetic spectrum The manufacture of antennas for these wavelengths is very simple This research will investigate the range of wavelengths between 0 3 to 0 S micrometers, which corresponds to visible light The manufacture of antennas for those wavelength is very critical The current available solar cells based on doped semiconductors have a theoretical maximum efficiency of 24% in converting light to DC current whereas the submicron antenna technique could achieve a theoretical maximum - efficiency of 100% Problem Obiectives (a) To fabricate submicron antennas for solar energy conversion and measure the efficiencies (b) To show the feasibility of producing of electricity from solar light using submicron antenna arrays fabricated in the laboratory of the University of North Texas (UNT) (c) To lay out the foundation of a new technique to produce electricity from these devices (d) To write a final report Method2locy After investigating the literature concerning the properties of materials like silicon and other dielectric materials, we need to pick a good candidate for the fabrication of solar energy antennas We also need to choose the best technique to fabricate the submicron antennas using the different techniques One technique to build an antenna would use the "sandwich structure" metal-semiconductor-metal We clamp this structure between glass plates to increase the contact between the SiC crystals and the metal electrodes The glass allows the light to reach the crystal-metal structure The testing of the solar antennas is done by measuring the electricity produced at their interaction with solar light Finally we will record data, treat it and produce a final report Ecuinment (a) Antenna materials SiC in the form of powder and thin films (b) Evaporator for growth of thin films (c) Data acquisition system Relevance There is a potentially excellent alternative source of energy that could be available to public This kind of energy would be very and non-polluting It would reduce atomic and fossil power plants It economical for the public Anticipated Deliverables power companies friendly to our environment the risk of dependence on would also be more - Final report r SIGNATURE OF UTILITY GENERAL MANAGER j~/C~uC 1 7 - Tdate) SIGNATURE OF AUTHORIZED SCHOOL OFFICIAL G Ida a c/rY 0/ DE AWON, r6XA8 MUNICIPAL BUILDING / 215 E McKINNEY / DENTON TEXAS 76201 July 25, 1991 Director of DEED American Public Power Association 2301 M Street, N W Washington, D C 20037 Dear DEED Director, Enclosed you will find, in triplicate, a DEED scholarship application for Ms Claudia Heinrich Ms Heinrich is an electronics technology student in the Industrial Technology department at the University of North Texas Her mayor professor is Dr Perry R McNeill, Director of the University's Electronics and Nuclear Technology program Ms Heinrich is also performing an internship with our utility in the areas of energy management, communication, and electronics Denton Municipal Utilities is pleased to forward this application for a project involving direct solar to electrical energy conversion Should the DEED Direc- tors choos~e to award this scholarship, we look forward to providing guidance and assistance to Ms Heinrich Her primary contact with the utility would be our public in and energy management coordinator, Richard Foster Please accept this application with our endorsement We look forward to working with the DEED Directors and Ms Heinrich in this important research in the area of renewable energy If you have any questions, comments, or concerns, please feel free to contact Richard Foster, at (817) 566-8420 Of course you may also contact me directly Respectfully submitted, ~ ur✓ C~ ~C~2~7 Robert o e son Executive Director Denton Municipal Utilities 215 E McKinney Denton, Texas 76201 (817) 5661-8230 REN/RF/sc 1D4/070191010 Enclosure 817/566 8200 D/FW METRO 434 2529 June 26, 1991 Director of Energy Research American Public Power Association 2301 M Street, N W Washington, D C 20037 Dear Mrs Cochran I have learned about the Energy Services Scholarship Program that the American Public Power Association is sponsoring I am very interested in applying for a scholarship under the Demonstration of Energy Efficient Developments I am a German international student currently attending the Electronics Technology program at the University of North Texas (UNT) in Denton I expect to graduate with a B S degree in August, 1992 Dr Perry R McNeill, professor and director of the Electronics and Nuclear Programs at UNT, is presently conducting research on a solar energy program sponsored by the U S Air Force If I get this fellowship, he will make me part of his research team and be the advisor and supporter in this project He will supervise my activities performed in the UNT solar laboratory This project is very interesting to me since it is related to my major I would appreciate the attention you give to my application for this fellowship If you have any further questions please feel free to contact me Sincerely, Claudia Heinrich Rt 2 Box 334 Valley View, TX 76272 University of North Texas College of Arts and Sciences Department of Industrial Technology Electronics and Nuclear Programs July 26, 1991 Mr R E Nelson Executive Director Denton Municipal Utilities 215 E McKinney St Denton, TX 76201 Dear Mr Nelson I am writing in reference to Claudia Heinrich's recent application for a DEED Scholarship It is our hope that she would be able to participate in a current research project involving the direct conversion of solar to electrical energy The initial funds for this project were supplied by the U S Air Force under a Research Initiation Grant to me for this summer This work is a continuation of an Air Force Office of Scientific Research Faculty Fellowship that I received for the summer of 1990 to do an evaluation study of submicron solar antennas at Tyndall AFB The original investigation of these antennas was accomplished at the University of Florida by Dr E Farber our current research efforts are building on this work Dr Alvin Marks has received a patent for a device that uses a submicron dipole antenna to convert solar to electrical energy Our investigations have not found any indications that show Marks has actually constructed a physical device We are attempting to design and fabricate a submicron pyramid antenna in the 0 7 micron range that will receive solar energy and convert it to electrical energy We have had some success with silicon carbide as the antenna material There is obvious ramifications of this work for utilities in the generation of electrical power for residential and commercial use If this concept is developed it would theoretically be P 0 Box 13198 9 Denton Texas 76203 3198 • 817/5654579 more than four times efficie* than solar cells The size of the solar antenna panels cou be dramatically reduced for the same power output as a solar cell panel I believe that Ms Hennrich will receive great educational benefit from working on this project Sincerely, 00 A4.~/'~ erasor Keill, s Ed D , P E Proand Director University of North Texas Dr Perry R McNeill P E Professor and Director Electronics and Nuclear Technology P O Box 13198 Denton Texas 76203 817/565 2846 CITY of DENTON, TEXAS 216 E McKinney / Denton, T% 78201 / Phone (817) 6888230 - OFFICE OF THE sxtcuTlvs DIRECTOR OF UTIUTI69 April 9, 1992 Mr David Hollingsworth O4//'~ Contract Administrator („4 Te Texas Engineering Experiment Station The Texas A&M University System College Station, TX 77843-3124 Re TEES Proposal 91-612 City of Denton Sponsorship (Dr A G Parlos/Dr A D Patton) Dear Mr Hollingsworth It has generally been the policy of the DEED program to fund projects where the product can be immediately made available to all public power systems across the nation without restriction. Apparently, there have been considerable legal questions that have been raised concerning the use of the final product that is anticipated to be available from your study As a result of the continuing legal questions presented to APPA regarding the propriety of useability of the project, and the restrictions you are proposing to place on the completed project, the City of Denton has reluctantly reached a decision to discontinue its pursuit of sponsorship of this project By copy of this letter, we are notifying the American Public Power Association of our decision in this matter Regards, le(~r d,.~ Nelson, Executive rector Department of Utilities cc Jackie Cockran, APPA file npnle%ATpn Tn 01 IAI ITy gPwi F